Board Thread:Theories and Speculation/@comment-34436445-20180613173319/@comment-734582-20180701175040

Nashikeine wrote: i read that one and i agree. Even Konoha doesnt look like it holds that big of a population. My estimates are around ten thousand, give or take a couple of thousands. Considering that it's an actual village (and not a military base), only a fraction of them would be ninja. A thousand or so sounds right. Nashikeine wrote: but the problem is you are literally making it complex. keep it simple.

Kishimoto-sensei's world is after all full of many holes. On the contrary, i kept it simple. The furthest i got was accounting for databook stats, estimating the populations of smaller ninja villages and getting a realistic lifetime expectancy of ninja. But i kept coming back to a factor of ten. 100 000 ninja simply doesn't work. 10 000 would've been more reasonable. And considering we get to see many facets of Konoha and the 100K stat is just one mention, i think it's fairly obvious that the lower end estimates work better.

As to the second part, that was actually the point of my math exercise. I wanted to see if the 100K made sense. it doesn't. Nashikeine wrote: an explanation can be that Konoha is the centre most shinobi village and there are other villages that train shinobi too Even then, Konoha is the biggest village in the Land of Fire. Akatsuki explains that the Village supports the country, not the other way around. If bigger villages than Konoha existed, they would also be mentioned, and they would also be on the map. They aren't. Nashikeine wrote: The series is full of holes by the end. But that doesn't mean we can't say anything about the series. We've seen plenty of the village. We've seen aerial shots of how big it is. We've seen how big the Academy is (well, mostly). We've seen the kind of Jonin population there is. Everything else in the series supports the idea of a ninja population in the thousands (per village). The 100K figure is clearly too high.